Gartner Emerging Risks Monitor Report shows talent is top emerging risk area followed by supply chain disruptions

Published: Friday, 04 February 2022 09:43

Executives are most concerned about postpandemic talent risks, according to Gartner, Inc.’s latest Emerging Risks Monitor Report. Talent risks topped other concerns, including supply chain disruptions and inflationary pressures, according to a survey of 254 senior executives across industry and geography, conducted in 4Q21.

“Talent risks are particularly concerning to executives because they are being driven by multiple root causes,” said Matt Shinkman, vice president with the Gartner Risk and Audit Practice. “High levels of voluntary unemployment and new expectations among the workforce are fueling an already hot labor market.”

The top five risks by overall risk score and frequency:

Score Rank

Risk Name

Impact Score

Timeframe Score

Frequency

1.

Postpandemic Talent

 3.02

1.44

78%

2.

Supply Chain Disruptions

 3.22

1.42

73%

3.

New Ransomware Models

 3.30

1.62

72%

4.

Endemic COVID-19

 2.77

1.41

61%

5.

Inflationary Pressures

 2.88

1.42

57%

(Source: Gartner, February 2022)

Organizations continue to struggle with questions related to a timeline for returning employees to the office and developing new working models, including remote and hybrid, to satisfy their workforce. The potential consequences of an inadequate talent strategy this year could lead to multiple organizational disruptions.

A historically high quits rate indicates that employees are willing to pursue better value propositions, particularly related to flexibility and pay. Constant turnover can lead to a degradation of workplace culture and loss of institutional knowledge. Finally, organizations may also face a lack of skilled workers to deliver on strategic initiatives, such as digital transformation, if unable to attract and retain high potential employees.

“The positive aspect of talent risk is that organizations have more direct ability to influence positive outcomes than many other types of risks they face,” said Shinkman. “By focusing on innovating their workforce management of hybrid and remote workers, offering employees more flexibility when possible, and expanding their recruitment approaches, organizations can develop a competitive talent strategy that meets the challenges of the moment.”

Supply chain disruptions, inflationary pressures persist

Supply chain disruptions have a been a persistent concern for executives over recent quarters. Executives continue to express concerns about rising costs and supplier contraction because of a fragile and stressed global supply chain. They also face loss of market share to competitors with more robust distribution or the ability to procure goods at lower prices.

“Persistent supply chain issues have helped push broader inflationary concerns to the forefront of executives’ minds,” Shinkman said. “Constrained supply is meeting heightened demand in many sectors, threatening organizations with a loss of labor, goods, and materials to competitors willing to pay a higher price. If above-trend inflationary pressures persist, market share consolidation by the largest firms, as well as the threat of a broader economic cooldown, could become tangible risks this year.”

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