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Colorado State University (CSU) has issued its initial forecast for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, with predictions for an above normal season being made.

CSU says:

Current weak La Niña conditions look fairly likely to transition to neutral ENSO by this summer/fall, but the odds of a significant El Niño seem unlikely. Sea surface temperatures averaged across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic are currently near average, while Caribbean and subtropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures are warmer than normal. We anticipate an above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean.

CSU predictions for 2022, with the long term average in brackets:

  • Named Storms: 19 (14.4)
  • Named Storm Days: 90 (69.4)
  • Hurricanes: 9 (7.2)
  • Hurricane Days: 35 (27.0)
  • Major Hurricanes: 4 (3.2)

More details.

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